2020 Book List

Devolution Devolution: A Firsthand Account of the Rainier Sasquatch Massacre
Dead Zone Dead Zone
If It Bleeds audiobook cover art If It Bleeds
Elevation audiobook cover art Elevation
The Leadership Challenge audiobook cover art The Leadership Challenge
The Deep Blue Good-by audiobook cover art The Deep Blue Good-By A Travis McGee Novel, Book 1,
John D MacDonald
Phoenix audiobook cover art The Phoenix Project
The Way I Heard It audiobook cover art The Way I Heard It, Mike Rowe
Caffeine audiobook cover art Caffeine: How Caffeine Created the Modern World, Micheal Pollan
The Outsider cover art The Outsider, Stephen King

What we know about Covid-19 in Michigan – 05/04/20

Total Confirmed: 43,801 | Deaths: 4,053
Total Tests: 212,532

Total Population of Michigan: 9.9 million

Mortality Rate per County:

Net New Deaths < 200 per day | New New Cases between 500 – 1100/d

10 Day Predictive Model – April 20 – May 30

My Predictive Model was off by roughly 1000 net new confirmed per day
Net New Daily confirmed cases are fluctuating between 500-1200 per day:

Source:

Lancet Inf Dis Article: Here. Mobile Version: Here.

Lead by JHU CSSE. Automation Support: Esri Living Atlas team and JHU APLContact USFAQ.

Data sources: WHOCDCECDCNHCDXY1point3acresWorldometers.infoBNOthe COVID Tracking Project (testing and hospitalizations), state and national government health departments, and local media reports.  Read more in this blog.

Downloadable database: GitHub: Here. Feature layer: Here.

Confirmed cases include presumptive positive cases and probable cases, in accordance with CDC guidelines as of April 14.

Death totals in the US include confirmed and probable, in accordance with CDC guidelines as of April 14.

Recovered cases outside China are estimates based on local media reports, and state and local reporting when available, and therefore may be substantially lower than the true number.

Active cases = total confirmed – total recovered – total deaths.

Incidence Rate = confirmed cases per 100,000 persons.

Case-Fatality Ratio (%) = Number recorded deaths / Number confirmed cases.

US Testing Rate: = total test results per 100,000 persons. The “total test results” are equal to “Total test results (Positive + Negative)” from Covid Tracking Project.

US Hospitalization Rate (%): = Total number hospitalized / Number confirmed cases. The “Total number hospitalized” is the “Hospitalized – Cumulative” count from Covid Tracking Project. The “hospitalization rate” and “Total number hospitalized” is only presented for those states which provide cumulative hospital data.

Point level: County level – US; Province/State level – China, Canada, Australia; Country level – other countries. All points (except for Australia) shown on the map are based on geographic centroids, and are not representative of a specific address, building or any location at a spatial scale finer than a province/state. Australian dots are located at the centroid of the largest city in each state.

Time Zones: lower-left corner indicator – your local time; lower-right corner plot – UTC.

Note: All cases of COVID-19 in repatriated US citizens from the Diamond Princess are grouped together. These individuals have been assigned to various quarantine locations (in military bases and hospitals) around the US. This grouping is consistent with the CDC.

*The names of locations included on the Website correspond with the official designations used by the U.S. Department of State.

Terms and Conditions of Website Use:  This website and its contents herein, including all data, mapping, and analysis (“Website”), copyright 2020 Johns Hopkins University, all rights reserved, is provided to the public strictly for public health, educational, and academic research purposes. Redistribution of the Website or the aggregated data set underlying the Website is strictly prohibited.  You are welcome to link to the Website, however.  The Website relies upon publicly available data from multiple sources that do not always agree. The Johns Hopkins University hereby disclaims any and all representations and warranties with respect to the Website, including accuracy, fitness for use, reliability, and non-infringement. Reliance on the Website for medical guidance or use of the Website in commerce is strictly prohibited.  Any use of the Johns Hopkins’ names, logos, trademarks, and trade dress for promotional or commercial purposes is strictly prohibited.

Visit the Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center where our experts help to advance understanding of the virus, inform the public, and brief policymakers in order to guide a response, improve care, and save lives.

Covid-19 In Michigan – 4/20/2020

Net New Cases for 4/19 are 633.
This the lowest since 3/26 – 3/27.

If this trend continues, the next 10 days should be a steady decline of Net New Daily Cases from now until 4/30.

The next 10 days are critical.

If we all continue to stay home, we should be able to give the medical professionals the time they need. Hospitals in Michigan are still around 40% Average Bed Utilization.

Screenshot 2020-04-20 12.26.58.png

Screenshot 2020-04-20 11.41.35.png

Source:

https://coronavirus-disasterresponse.hub.arcgis.com/datasets/definitivehc::definitive-healthcare-usa-hospital-beds/data?geometry=49.570%2C-16.820%2C-74.532%2C72.123

 

What We Know About Covid-19 in Michigan – April 15 2020

Update – Graph updated with 4/14 Data
Repo updated 1pm EDT 4/15: http://plustensandbox.com/covid-19/

Net New Cases on 4/3: 1890 | New New Cases on 4/13: 1004

Date Net New Cases
4/2/20 1434
4/3/20 1890
4/4/20 1435
4/5/20 1396
4/6/20 1473
4/7/20 1684
4/8/20 1413
4/9/20 1149
4/10/20 1208
4/11/20 1166
4/12/20 635
4/13/20 1004

Screenshot 2020-04-15 13.01.12

Source:

Lancet Inf Dis Article: Here. Mobile Version: Here.

Lead by JHU CSSE. Automation Support: Esri Living Atlas team and JHU APLContact USFAQ.

Data sources: WHOCDCECDCNHCDXY1point3acresWorldometers.infoBNOthe COVID Tracking Project (testing and hospitalizations), state and national government health departments, and local media reports.  Read more in this blog.

Downloadable database: GitHub: Here. Feature layer: Here.

Confirmed cases include presumptive positive cases.

Recovered cases outside China are estimates based on local media reports, and may be substantially lower than the true number.

Active cases = total confirmed – total recovered – total deaths.

Incidence Rate = confirmed cases per 100,000 persons.

Case-Fatality Ratio (%) = Number recorded deaths / Number confirmed cases.

US Testing Rate = total tested per 100,000 persons.

US Hospitalization Rate (%) = Total number hospitalized / Number confirmed cases.

Point level: County level – US; Province/State level – China, Canada, Australia; Country level – other countries. All points (except for Australia) shown on the map are based on geographic centroids, and are not representative of a specific address, building or any location at a spatial scale finer than a province/state. Australian dots are located at the centroid of the largest city in each state.

Time Zones: lower-left corner indicator – your local time; lower-right corner plot – UTC.

Note: All cases of COVID-19 in repatriated US citizens from the Diamond Princess are grouped together. These individuals have been assigned to various quarantine locations (in military bases and hospitals) around the US. This grouping is consistent with the CDC.

*The names of locations included on the Website correspond with the official designations used by the U.S. Department of State.

Terms and Conditions of Website Use:  This website and its contents herein, including all data, mapping, and analysis (“Website”), copyright 2020 Johns Hopkins University, all rights reserved, is provided to the public strictly for public health, educational, and academic research purposes. Redistribution of the Website or the aggregated data set underlying the Website is strictly prohibited.  You are welcome to link to the Website, however.  The Website relies upon publicly available data from multiple sources that do not always agree. The Johns Hopkins University hereby disclaims any and all representations and warranties with respect to the Website, including accuracy, fitness for use, reliability, and non-infringement. Reliance on the Website for medical guidance or use of the Website in commerce is strictly prohibited.  Any use of the Johns Hopkins’ names, logos, trademarks, and trade dress for promotional or commercial purposes is strictly prohibited.

Visit the Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center where our experts help to advance understanding of the virus, inform the public, and brief policymakers in order to guide a response, improve care, and save lives.

Covid-19 Michigan & US Update 4/12

What we know about Covid-19 in Michigan
Total Hospitalized in Michigan 3,636
Total Confirmed in Michigan 23,605
Total Tested in Michigan 76,014
Case/Fatality Ratio 5.86%
Tested people 76,014
Testing rate 954.08 per 100K people
People hospitalized 3,636
Hospitalization rate 15.40%
Incidence rate 296.28 per 100K people

 

Screenshot 2020-04-12 15.08.30.png

Screenshot 2020-04-12 15.23.57.png

Covid-19 – Important Dashboard Update

Total Recovered and Total Tested added to the Dashboard:

Screenshot 2020-04-12 14.48.05.png

https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

Lead by JHU CSSE. Automation Support: Esri Living Atlas team and JHU APLContact USFAQ.

Data sources: WHOCDCECDCNHCDXY1point3acresWorldometers.infoBNOthe COVID Tracking Project (testing and hospitalizations), state and national government health departments, and local media reports.  Read more in this blog.

COVID-19 Hospital Impact Model for Epidemics (CHIME)

I am not being hyperbolic when I say that Mark Isken was THE most impactful, knowledgeable, and career-driving professors I had during my time at OU.

Check out this AWESOME Impact Model that he is working with the team at UPenn.

COVID-19 Hospital Impact Model for Epidemics (CHIME)

This tool was developed by the Predictive Healthcare team at Penn Medicine to assist hospitals and public health officials with hospital capacity planning.

Screen Shot 2020-04-10 at 12.46.13 PM.png

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