What we know about Covid-19 in Michigan

Two and a half million residents of Michigan have been Vaccinated (2,507,267) as of March 28, 2021.
This is 31% of the total population of the State, which is 8.096 Million

Over 40% of residents over the age of 64 have been completely vaccinated.
Over 60% of residents over the age of 64 have had at least one dose.

In the past 2 months time, the Maximum Net New Daily Deaths has DECREASED from 104/d to 57/d.
As the vaccinations continue to roll out, fewer residents are dying as a result of Covid-19 (or related co-morbidity).

The total number of deaths in Michigan represent a population mortality of 0.21%. (17,047)

In the past 2 months time, the Net New Daily Confirmed Cases has INCREASED
from around 2000/d for a given week to over 6000/d

CLICK TO ENLARGE:

Updated Vaccination Metrics as of 3/38/2021

Sources:
https://www.michigan.gov/coronavirus/0,9753,7-406-98178_103214-547150–,00.html
https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19

Data Integrity:

CVS Data Source: 
https://cvshealth.com/sites/default/files/cvs-health-covid-19-vaccination-data.pdf

Walgreens Data Source: 
https://www.walgreens.com/topic/findcare/long-term-care-facility-covid-vaccine.jsp#stayinformed

Managed Health Care Associates Source:  MHA [email report]

Walgreens Facilities Assigned for Scheduling decrease includes an estimated 1200 facilities transferring to Managed Health Care Associates pharmacies for administration, as well as facilities that have opted out.

Previous data posted for Managed Health Care Associates Part B was reported in error by MHA.
The data posted today has been corrected by MHA to reflect the accurate numbers for Part B (Other Long Term Care Facilities).

Data are provided each Friday to the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services by
the Michigan Department of Corrections.

Age Group provides the number of individuals vaccinated that week within each age group. 

Number in the medically vulnerable vaccinated group will overlap with age group information. 

CVS and Walgreens pharmacies plans to conduct three on-site clinics at each LTC facility to vaccinate as many residents and staff as possible. During the first clinic, the pharmacists will vaccinate all staff and residents on site. The second clinic will be held a minimum of 28 days later and the pharmacists will vaccinate staff/residents from the first clinic with their 2nd dose of COVID-19 vaccine and catch anyone they may have missed on first date with their first dose. The third clinic will occur 28 days after the 2nd clinic and pharmacies will vaccinate anyone from the second clinic that needs their 2nd dose.

Lancet Inf Dis Article: Here. Mobile Version: Here. Data sources: Full list.Downloadable database: GitHubFeature Layer.

Lead by JHU CSSE. Technical Support: Esri Living Atlas team and JHU APL. Financial Support: JHUNSFBloomberg Philanthropies and Stavros Niarchos Foundation. Resource support: SlackGithub and AWS. Click here to donate to the CSSE dashboard team, and other JHU COVID-19 Research Efforts. FAQ. Read more in this blogContact US.

Cases and Death counts include confirmed and probable (where reported).
Recovered cases are estimates based on local media reports, and state and local reporting when available, and therefore may be substantially lower than the true number.
Incidence Rate = cases per 100,000 persons.
Case-Fatality Ratio (%) = Number recorded deaths / Number cases.
US Testing Rate: = total test results per 100,000 persons.
The “total test results” are equal to “Total test results (Positive + Negative).”

Point level: Admin2 Level (County) – US only; Admin1 Level (Province/State); Admin0 Level (Countries/Regions/Sovereignties). All points (except for Australia and Italy) shown on the map are based on geographic centroids, and are not representative of a specific address, building or any location at a spatial scale finer than a province/state. Australian and Italian dots are located at the centroid of the largest city in each state.

Time Zones: lower-left corner indicator – your local time; lower-right corner plot – UTC. 

Note: All cases of COVID-19 in repatriated US citizens from the Diamond Princess are grouped together. These individuals have been assigned to various quarantine locations (in military bases and hospitals) around the US. This grouping is consistent with the CDC.

*The names of locations included on the Website correspond with the official designations used by the U.S. Department of State. The presentation of material therein does not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of JHU concerning the legal status of any country, area or territory or of its authorities. The depiction and use of boundaries, geographic names and related data shown on maps and included in lists, tables, documents, and databases on this website are not warranted to be error free nor do they necessarily imply official endorsement or acceptance by JHU.

Terms of Use:

  1. This website and its contents herein, including all data, mapping, and analysis are copyright 2020 Johns Hopkins University, all rights reserved. When linking to the website, attribute the Website as the “COVID-19 Dashboard by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at Johns Hopkins University” 
  2. This data set underlying the map, provided on the CSSE GitHub (url: https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19), is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International by the Johns Hopkins University on behalf of its Center for Systems Science in Engineering. Copyright Johns Hopkins University 2020. Attribute the data to the “COVID-19 Data Repository by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at Johns Hopkins University” or “JHU CSSE COVID-19 Data” for short, and the url: https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19.
  3. For publications that use the data, please cite the following publication: “Dong E, Du H, Gardner L. An interactive web-based dashboard to track COVID-19 in real time. Lancet Inf Dis. 20(5):533-534. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30120-1”

Visit the Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center where our experts help to advance understanding of the virus, inform the public, and brief policymakers in order to guide a response, improve care, and save lives.

Top 10 Moments of 2019 & 2020

2020

  1. Lake Tahoe trip & 4 Wheeling
  2. Cottage Completion (almost)
  3. Hot Springs
  4. The Sweat Lodge
  5. Spending more time with Candice

2019

  1. Surprise 40th Birthday
  2. Chicago Brother Adventure, Scootin ’round Chicago
  3. Lake Tahoe
  4. Weekend Cottage Projects
  5. Getting my new job at BCBSM
  6. The Basement Reno Project
  7. Float Session at Motor City Float
  8. Connecting with Kris / Bro Time
  9. Sitting with my Dad on the patio and laughing
  10. Learning from Keith / Work Ethic

40 for 40 List

Forty items for daily, weekly and monthly focus. I am 40, it’s 2020, my company is 80 years old. I love how all the number mean something? ūüôā Looking forward to the next decade!

UPDATE – updated for year end

 

2020 Book List

Ink Ink
Ready Player Two Ready Player Two
Escape from Virtual Island Escape from Virtual Island
Greenlights Greenlights
Battle Ground: Dresden Files, Book 17 Battle Ground: Dresden Files, Book 17
NOS4A2: A Novel NOS4A2: A Novel
The Sandman The Sandman
Peace Talks Peace Talks: Dresden Files, Book 16
Mythos Mythos
Devolution Devolution: A Firsthand Account of the Rainier Sasquatch Massacre
Dead Zone Dead Zone
If It Bleeds audiobook cover art If It Bleeds
Elevation audiobook cover art Elevation
The Leadership Challenge audiobook cover art The Leadership Challenge
The Deep Blue Good-by audiobook cover art The Deep Blue Good-By A Travis McGee Novel, Book 1,
John D MacDonald
Phoenix audiobook cover art The Phoenix Project
The Way I Heard It audiobook cover art The Way I Heard It, Mike Rowe
Caffeine audiobook cover art Caffeine: How Caffeine Created the Modern World, Micheal Pollan
The Outsider cover art The Outsider, Stephen King

What we know about Covid-19 in Michigan – 05/04/20

Total Confirmed: 43,801 | Deaths: 4,053
Total Tests: 212,532

Total Population of Michigan: 9.9 million

Mortality Rate per County:

Net New Deaths < 200 per day | New New Cases between 500 – 1100/d

10 Day Predictive Model – April 20 – May 30

My Predictive Model was off by roughly 1000 net new confirmed per day
Net New Daily confirmed cases are fluctuating between 500-1200 per day:

Source:

Lancet Inf Dis Article: Here. Mobile Version: Here.

Lead by JHU CSSE. Automation Support: Esri Living Atlas team and JHU APL. Contact US. FAQ.

Data sources: WHO, CDC, ECDC, NHC, DXY, 1point3acres, Worldometers.info, BNO, the COVID Tracking Project (testing and hospitalizations), state and national government health departments, and local media reports.  Read more in this blog.

Downloadable database: GitHub: Here. Feature layer: Here.

Confirmed cases include presumptive positive cases and probable cases, in accordance with CDC guidelines as of April 14.

Death totals in the US include confirmed and probable, in accordance with CDC guidelines as of April 14.

Recovered cases outside China are estimates based on local media reports, and state and local reporting when available, and therefore may be substantially lower than the true number.

Active cases = total confirmed Рtotal recovered Рtotal deaths.

Incidence Rate = confirmed cases per 100,000 persons.

Case-Fatality Ratio (%) = Number recorded deaths / Number confirmed cases.

US Testing Rate:¬†= total test results per 100,000 persons. The “total test results” are equal to “Total test results (Positive + Negative)” from¬†Covid Tracking Project.

US¬†Hospitalization Rate (%):¬†= Total number hospitalized / Number confirmed cases. The “Total number hospitalized” is the “Hospitalized ‚Äď Cumulative” count from¬†Covid Tracking Project. The “hospitalization rate” and “Total number hospitalized” is only presented for those states which provide cumulative hospital data.

Point level: County level РUS; Province/State level РChina, Canada, Australia; Country level Рother countries. All points (except for Australia) shown on the map are based on geographic centroids, and are not representative of a specific address, building or any location at a spatial scale finer than a province/state. Australian dots are located at the centroid of the largest city in each state.

Time Zones: lower-left corner indicator – your local time; lower-right corner plot – UTC.

Note: All cases of COVID-19 in repatriated US citizens from the Diamond Princess are grouped together. These individuals have been assigned to various quarantine locations (in military bases and hospitals) around the US. This grouping is consistent with the CDC.

*The names of locations included on the Website correspond with the official designations used by the U.S. Department of State.

Terms and Conditions of Website Use:¬† This website and its contents herein, including all data, mapping, and analysis (‚ÄúWebsite‚ÄĚ), copyright 2020 Johns Hopkins University, all rights reserved, is provided to the public strictly for public health, educational, and academic research purposes. Redistribution of the Website or the aggregated data set underlying the Website is strictly prohibited.¬† You are welcome to link to the Website, however.¬† The Website relies upon publicly available data from multiple sources that do not always agree. The Johns Hopkins University hereby disclaims any and all representations and warranties with respect to the Website, including accuracy, fitness for use, reliability, and non-infringement. Reliance on the Website for medical guidance or use of the Website in commerce is strictly prohibited.¬† Any use of the Johns Hopkins‚Äô names, logos, trademarks, and trade dress for promotional or commercial purposes is strictly prohibited.

Visit the Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center where our experts help to advance understanding of the virus, inform the public, and brief policymakers in order to guide a response, improve care, and save lives.

Covid-19 In Michigan – 4/20/2020

Net New Cases for 4/19 are 633.
This the lowest since 3/26 – 3/27.

If this trend continues, the next 10 days should be a steady decline of Net New Daily Cases from now until 4/30.

The next 10 days are critical.

If we all continue to stay home, we should be able to give the medical professionals the time they need. Hospitals in Michigan are still around 40% Average Bed Utilization.

Screenshot 2020-04-20 12.26.58.png

Screenshot 2020-04-20 11.41.35.png

Source:

https://coronavirus-disasterresponse.hub.arcgis.com/datasets/definitivehc::definitive-healthcare-usa-hospital-beds/data?geometry=49.570%2C-16.820%2C-74.532%2C72.123

 

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